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Home page > 01. About Us > 01. What is the AUGUR Project?

What is the AUGUR Project?

The AUGUR Project is an international research project of the FP7 (Seventh Framework Programme) of the EU, which is the European Union’s chief instrument for funding research over the period 2007 to 2013.

What is the aim of the AUGUR Project?

The AUGUR challlenge is to capture, within a set of scenarios, the characteristics and implications of a variety of patterns that may occur in 2030 in all domains, be it political, economic, social, environmental or technological, in Europe and in the world.

The project wants to take stock of long term trends identified in demograpic and environmental changes, as well as featuring some of the effects of likely changes in technology and behaviours. But it also wants to take into account the important institutional transformations that could come out of the major crisis that the world economy is confronted with.

What approaches are being used to achieve these objectives?

To reach these ambitious objectives in a comprehensive and consistent way, AUGUR combines in a systematic way three types of approaches:

The first approach is to use macro models, ensuring that the main interdependencies are taken into account. As one macro model cannot cover all the domains under view, macro models are made to interact in ways which are facilitated, if not intermediated, by the other two approaches.

The second approach takes an institutional perspective whereby the main mechanisms of coordination, setting both the rules of behaviours but also the means to create new modes of coordination, are investigated and the various interests at stake accounted for. This political economy of institutions and institutional changes applies at both national and international levels. With the present crisis, that burst in the most developed economies and is affecting all economies throughout the world, a specific emphasis is put on forthcoming and potential institutional changes.

The third approach stems from the by now long experience of foresight studies which proceed by asserting visions, based on specific thorough transformations impacting on all domains. This qualitative approach is informed and framed by the two other approaches.

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The AUGUR Project flyer
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The AUGUR Map of the World

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